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US dollar slumps to three-year low as housing data disappoints

A perfect storm of weak housing data and rising rival currencies sends the dollar tumbling. Can Fed policy or liquidity demands turn the tide?

The image shows a graph of gold as an investment on a white background with text at the top. The...
The image shows a graph of gold as an investment on a white background with text at the top. The graph is composed of two lines, one representing gold and the other representing an investment. The gold line is steadily increasing, indicating a steady increase in investment over time.

US dollar slumps to three-year low as housing data disappoints

The US dollar has weakened further after new home sales in January dropped to their lowest level in over three years. Losses deepened as the British pound, euro, and Japanese yen all gained ground. Central bank comments on inflation, linked to tensions in Iran, have added to the pressure on the currency.

The dollar index (DXY00) fell by 0.45% on Thursday, extending recent declines. Earlier, the currency had strengthened after Russia's invasion of Ukraine in February 2022, driven by geopolitical uncertainty and tighter US monetary policy. But by March 2026, lower US interest rates—now at 3.75%—and rising optimism in gold markets have shifted the trend.

US economic data released today showed mixed signals. Weekly jobless claims and the March Philadelphia Fed business survey both pointed to a hawkish stance from the Federal Reserve. Fed Chair Jerome Powell reinforced this on Wednesday, stating that no rate cuts would come without clear progress on inflation. His remarks provided some temporary support for the dollar. Despite the broader weakness, demand for dollar liquidity has risen due to stock market instability. This has helped limit deeper losses for the currency. Meanwhile, gold prices have climbed, with forecasts now reaching as high as $7,031 per ounce.

The dollar remains under strain from strong rival currencies and disappointing US housing figures. While Fed policy and liquidity needs have cushioned some losses, the outlook stays uncertain. Investors are now watching inflation trends and central bank moves for further direction.

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