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U.S. dollar plummets as euro and global currencies surge in 2026

A perfect storm of policy shifts and geopolitics sends the dollar tumbling. From Canada to Mexico, currencies are rewriting the rules of exchange.

The image shows a graph depicting the 5-bank asset concentration for United States. The graph is...
The image shows a graph depicting the 5-bank asset concentration for United States. The graph is accompanied by text that provides further information about the data.

U.S. dollar plummets as euro and global currencies surge in 2026

The U.S. dollar has weakened significantly against major currencies in early 2026. A drop of over 10 percent against the euro and a 6 percent fall against the Canadian dollar highlight the shift. Global uncertainty and policy changes under former U.S. President Trump have accelerated the decline.

Since January 1, 2025, the U.S. dollar has lost ground across the board. Against the Canadian dollar alone, it fell by 2.52 cents between January 21 and early 2026. The euro and pound now cost Canadians more than a year ago, reflecting broader currency trends.

The European Central Bank (ECB) has kept its deposit rate steady at 2 percent since early 2025. With no further cuts expected until at least February 2026, the euro has strengthened. Forecasts place it between 1.20 and 1.25 against the dollar by the end of 2026. Meanwhile, the U.S. Federal Reserve plans only modest rate cuts, leaving its benchmark between 3.00 and 3.25 percent.

Canada's inflation sits at 2.4 percent, with an interest rate of 2.25 percent and GDP growth projected at 1.3 percent for 2026. Sweden, by contrast, reports just 0.3 percent inflation, a 1.75 percent interest rate, and stronger GDP growth of 2.6 percent. The Swedish krona has surged over 18 percent against the Canadian dollar.

Mexico's economy shows higher inflation at 3.69 percent and a 7.00 percent interest rate, but its GDP growth is forecast at 1.2 percent. The Mexican peso has also gained, rising over 12 percent against the Canadian dollar.

The U.S. dollar's decline stems from policy shifts and geopolitical tensions. With the Fed's cautious approach and the ECB's steady rates, the euro remains strong. For Canadians, this means higher costs for imports from Europe and the UK, while currencies like the krona and peso gain ground.

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