Russian Banks Poised for Major Expansion with 16T Ruble Loan Boost
Russian banks are poised for significant growth and expansion, thanks to a capital buffer that allows them to increase their loan portfolios by an additional 4 trillion rubles in 2023 and 12 trillion rubles in 2024. This comes as Central Bank Governor Elvira Nabiullina advocates for a stronger ruble and lower key rate target.
The banking sector's robust performance is evident in its capital buffer, which stands at 8 trillion rubles above the mandatory minimum. Banks reinvest over half of their profits, indicating a commitment to future lending. In 2023, Russian banks are expected to post combined profits exceeding 3 trillion rubles.
Key players such as Sberbank, VTB, Gazprombank, Alfa-Bank, and Rosselkhozbank are set to benefit from the capital buffer, enabling them to issue additional loans in the coming years. Despite a slowdown in corporate lending growth, which reached 5.4 trillion rubles in the first nine months of 2023, a full-year forecast of 10β13% loan growth to businesses remains optimistic.
The capital buffer allows Russian banks to expand their loan portfolios significantly in 2023 and 2024, with major banks set to benefit. Despite a slight slowdown in corporate lending growth, the sector's robust performance and commitment to reinvesting profits indicate a positive outlook for the Russian banking sector.